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Strommen 3-2 Moss

1. Division · Matchweek 13
Strommen
32
Full-timeHT 2-1
Moss
16'Fajfric38'Hristov90'Waehler
Aga8'Semmen53'
Referee J. W. GrundtSat 27 Jun 2026, 17:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
3+ goals
65%±6
Notableleague base 64%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Both teams score: yes
63%±4
Notableleague base 63%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · STR 40% · X 23% · MOS 38%Predicted score 3-3 · Most likely: 1-1 9% · 2-1 8% · 1-2 8%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

19All ›
Kick-off · 17:00
8'
0-1O. AgaAssist N. Semmen
16'
L. FajfricAssist S. Rindal1-1
33'
K. HarrisonOn · M. Cassidy off
38'
N. HristovAssist K. Somesi2-1
Half-time 2-1
53'
2-2N. SemmenAssist R. Marcus
57'
E. ChidiOn · E. Race off
68'
S. GronliYellow card
70'
M. WaehlerOn · L. Fajfric off
70'
D. DashaevOn · M. Paulsen off
78'
C. CrestaniYellow card
78'
E. RogneOn · A. Solberg off
78'
T. Romo LilloOn · S. Beck off
78'
H. Vold KrohgOn · S. Gronli off
78'
P. AndersenOn · R. Marcus off
81'
S. RindalYellow card
82'
J. KristengardOn · N. Hristov off
88'
K. HarrisonYellow card
88'
E. RogneYellow card
90'
M. WaehlerAssist C. Crestani3-2
Full time 3-2

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

3-5-2 · 4-3-3Line-ups ›
Strommen
3-5-2
Coach Svein PettersenBench 9
Moss
4-3-3
Coach Martin Nesselquist OleBench 9
Your predictionFull time 3-2
STR
–
MOS
–
Model: 3-3 (3%)
No prediction · Locked 17:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections04:29

Strommen beat Moss 3-2 in the 1. Division matchday 13 on 27 June 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 2-1 at half-time. Moss scored first, in the 8th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 8' O. Aga, assisted by N. Semmen → 0-1; 16' L. Fajfric, assisted by S. Rindal → 1-1; 38' N. Hristov, assisted by K. Somesi → 2-1; 53' N. Semmen, assisted by R. Marcus → 2-2; 90' M. Waehler, assisted by C. Crestani → 3-2.

Yellow cards: Strommen 3, Moss 2.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: O. Aga, L. Fajfric, N. Hristov, N. Semmen, M. Waehler.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Strommen 40%, draw 23%, Moss 38%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

27 June 2026: the 1. Division matchday 13 match ended Strommen 3-2 Moss. Goals: O. Aga 8', L. Fajfric 16', N. Hristov 38', N. Semmen 53', M. Waehler 90'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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