Strasbourg 1-3 Nice
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Dante 7.9 · H. Diarra 7.5 · D. Bakwa 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections01:4128 April 2024: the Ligue 1 matchday 31 match ended Strasbourg 1-3 Nice.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Strasbourg scored first, in the 18th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 18' D. Bakwa → 1-0; 44' E. Guessand (penalty) → 1-1; 52' Dante, assisted by J. Boga → 1-2; 84' M. Sanson, assisted by R. Perraud → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Strasbourg 2, Nice 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Strasbourg 0.60, Nice 1.56; shots 13-8 (5-4 on target); possession 47%-53%; corners 2-3; pass accuracy 86%-88%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.96.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
D. Bakwa was Strasbourg's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 78 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 3 of 9 duels.
Dante was Nice's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 4 tackles, won 8 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Strasbourg vs Nice (Ligue 1 matchday 31, 28 April 2024) finished 1-3. Goals: D. Bakwa 18', E. Guessand 44' (pen), Dante 52', M. Sanson 84'. Match stats: possession Strasbourg 47%, Nice 53%; shots on target 5-4; expected goals (xG) 0.60-1.56.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.