Start 1-1 Molde
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: E. Reitan 8.2 · J. Cornelius 7.3 · J. Pryts 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections22:1819 April 2026: the Eliteserien matchday 5 match ended Start 1-1 Molde.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Molde levelled after the break. Start scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' J. Cornelius → 1-0; 64' E. Breivik, assisted by S. Hansen → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Start 1, Molde 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Start 0.78, Molde 1.48; shots 12-11 (6-4 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 2-6; pass accuracy 76%-84%.
Molde created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
E. Reitan was Start's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 5 tackles, won 9 of 11 duels.
S. Hansen was Molde's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 15 of 19 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Start 24%, draw 23%, Molde 54%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Start vs Molde (Eliteserien matchday 5, 19 April 2026) finished 1-1. Goals: J. Cornelius 22', E. Breivik 64'. Match stats: possession Start 42%, Molde 58%; shots on target 6-4; expected goals (xG) 0.78-1.48.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.