Stabaek 2-3 Moss
1. Division · Matchweek 21
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections15:46Stabaek lost to Moss 2-3 in the 1. Division matchday 21 on 5 September 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-2 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Moss scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' O. Aga → 0-1; 20' N. Semmen, assisted by P. Andersen → 0-2; 33' F. Krogstad, assisted by J. Hanstad → 1-2; 45' J. Hanstad → 2-2; 82' L. Overgaard → 2-3.
Yellow cards: Stabaek 0, Moss 1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-2 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: O. Aga, N. Semmen, F. Krogstad, J. Hanstad, L. Overgaard.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Stabaek 73%, draw 14%, Moss 13%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Stabaek vs Moss (1. Division matchday 21, 5 September 2026) finished 2-3. Goals: O. Aga 10', N. Semmen 20', F. Krogstad 33', J. Hanstad 45', L. Overgaard 82'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.