Spal 2-3 Modena
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Moncini 8.7 · S. Esposito 8.0 · Biagio Meccariello 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections16:35Spal lost to Modena 2-3 in the Serie B matchday 15 on 4 December 2022.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Spal scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+1' A. La Mantia (own goal) → 1-0; 58' G. Moncini, assisted by G. Tunjov → 2-0; 72' D. Falcinelli, assisted by M. Armellino → 2-1; 90+6' D. Marsura (penalty) → 2-2; 90+7' G. Moncini → 3-2.
Davide Diaw (Modena) was sent off in the 35th minute; VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Spal 5, Modena 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 19-12 (8-4 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 2-1; pass accuracy 88%-72%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-2 in the second.
Standout players
G. Moncini was Spal's highest-rated player at 8.7 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, won 8 of 14 duels.
D. Falcinelli was Modena's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 10 of 17 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
4 December 2022: the Serie B matchday 15 match ended Spal 2-3 Modena. Goals: A. La Mantia 45+1' (o.g.), G. Moncini 58', D. Falcinelli 72', D. Marsura 90+6' (pen), G. Moncini 90+7'. Match stats: possession Spal 67%, Modena 33%; shots on target 8-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.