Spaeri 1-1 Rustavi
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections21:039 September 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 25 match ended Spaeri 1-1 Rustavi.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Spaeri scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' G. Tsirdava → 1-0; 33' Jean, assisted by N. Chikovani → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Spaeri 4, Rustavi 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 6-5 (4-4 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 6-4.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: G. Tsirdava, Jean.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Spaeri 36%, draw 28%, Rustavi 36%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
9 September 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 25 match ended Spaeri 1-1 Rustavi. Goals: G. Tsirdava 26', Jean 33'. Match stats: possession Spaeri 48%, Rustavi 52%; shots on target 4-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.