Slavia Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections00:5631 July 2026: the First League matchday 3 match ended Slavia Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Lokomotiv Sofia scored first, in the 36th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 36' N. Penev → 0-1; 42' I. Minchev, assisted by I. Stefanov → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Slavia Sofia 4, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-9 (4-4 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 5-3.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: N. Penev, I. Minchev.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Slavia Sofia 45%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Sofia 28%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
31 July 2026: the First League matchday 3 match ended Slavia Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Goals: N. Penev 36', I. Minchev 42'. Match stats: possession Slavia Sofia 46%, Lokomotiv Sofia 54%; shots on target 4-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.