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Simba 6-1 Mashujaa

Ligi kuu Bara · Matchweek 8
Simba
61
Full-timeHT 2-0
Mashujaa
16'Gueye33'Mpanzu53'Oura59'Mpanzu+2 goals
Bwenzi64'
KMC Stadium, Dar es SalaamTue 13 Oct 2026, 19:00capacity 3,000

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
Simba win
80%±6
Notableleague base 48%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
HT/FT: Simba → Simba
58%
Notablecalibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 3
2+ goals
72%
Clearleague base 66%calibrated
retrospective hit
Match result · SİM 80% · X 16% · MAS 5%Predicted score 3-0 · Most likely: 2-0 19% · 1-0 18% · 3-0 14%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

10All ›
Kick-off · 19:00
16'
L. GueyeGoal1-0
32'
Yellow card
33'
E. MpanzuGoal2-0
45+3'
Yellow card
45+6'
Red card
Half-time 2-0
53'
A. A. OuraGoal3-0
59'
E. MpanzuGoal4-0
62'
M. AbrahamGoal5-0
64'
5-1S. BwenziGoal
69'
O. ToureGoal6-1
Full time 6-1

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Simba
Coach S. BarkerBench 10
Mashujaa
Coach —Bench 10
Your predictionFull time 6-1
SİM
–
MAS
–
Model: 3-0 (14%)
No prediction · Locked 19:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections02:34

13 October 2026: the Ligi kuu Bara matchday 8 match ended Simba 6-1 Mashujaa.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 2-0 at half-time. Simba scored first, in the 16th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 16' L. Gueye → 1-0; 33' E. Mpanzu → 2-0; 53' A. A. Oura → 3-0; 59' E. Mpanzu → 4-0; 62' M. Abraham → 5-0; 64' S. Bwenzi → 5-1; 69' O. Toure → 6-1.

(Mashujaa) was sent off in the 45th minute; yellow cards: Simba 0, Mashujaa 2.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 4-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: L. Gueye, E. Mpanzu, A. A. Oura, M. Abraham, S. Bwenzi, O. Toure.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Simba 80%, draw 16%, Mashujaa 5%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Simba beat Mashujaa 6-1 in the Ligi kuu Bara matchday 8 on 13 October 2026. Goals: L. Gueye 16', E. Mpanzu 33', A. A. Oura 53', E. Mpanzu 59', M. Abraham 62', S. Bwenzi 64', O. Toure 69'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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