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Rustavi 2-1 Spaeri

Erovnuli Liga · Matchweek 16
Rustavi
21
Full-timeHT 1-0
Spaeri
29'Jean82'Gujabidze
Tsetskhladze63'
Referee B. NinuaFri 29 May 2026, 20:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
76%
Clearleague base 73%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Rustavi win
45%±8
Notableleague base 41%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · RUS 45% · X 27% · SPA 27%Predicted score 1-0 · Most likely: 1-1 13% · 1-0 12% · 0-0 9%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

16All ›
Kick-off · 20:00
11'
I. IakobidzeYellow card
29'
JeanGoal1-0
37'
M. KapanadzeYellow card
Half-time 1-0
63'
1-1G. TsetskhladzeAssist Z. Golubiani
67'
S. KessiYellow card
70'
N. KentchadzeYellow card
73'
B. JibrilOn · Jean off
73'
G. ChkheidzeOn · K. Ceijas off
73'
T. TsalughelashviliOn · N. Kentchadze off
78'
Z. BasilashviliOn · P. Poniava off
82'
A. GujabidzeGoal2-1
85'
David OliveiraOn · S. Kessi off
85'
M. PamiOn · D. Ubilava off
90+2'
G. GrigalashviliOn · S. Mathenjwa off
90+3'
G. GrigalashviliYellow card
90+4'
N. JaparidzeOn · P. Osei off
Full time 2-1

Match stats

Rustavi
Spaeri
4
On target
3
%45
Possession
%55
6
Corners
5

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Rustavi
Coach Giorgi TsetsadzeBench 9
Spaeri
Coach Anzor KighuradzeBench 8
Your predictionFull time 2-1
RUS
–
SPA
–
Model: 1-0 (12%)
No prediction · Locked 20:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections20:27

Rustavi beat Spaeri 2-1 in the Erovnuli Liga matchday 16 on 29 May 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 1-0 at half-time. Rustavi scored first, in the 29th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 29' Jean → 1-0; 63' G. Tsetskhladze, assisted by Z. Golubiani → 1-1; 82' A. Gujabidze → 2-1.

Yellow cards: Rustavi 3, Spaeri 2.

Statistical comparison

Possession 45%-55%; corners 6-5.

Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: Jean, G. Tsetskhladze, A. Gujabidze.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Rustavi 45%, draw 27%, Spaeri 27%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Rustavi beat Spaeri 2-1 in the Erovnuli Liga matchday 16 on 29 May 2026. Goals: Jean 29', G. Tsetskhladze 63', A. Gujabidze 82'. Match stats: possession Rustavi 45%, Spaeri 55%; shots on target 4-3.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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Spaeri · next match