Rustavi 3-0 Gagra
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections06:4322 August 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 22 match ended Rustavi 3-0 Gagra.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Gagra scored first, in the 56th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 56' O. Vorobey (own goal) → 0-1; 85' S. Kessi → 1-1; 90' David Oliveira, assisted by M. Gambos → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Rustavi 3, Gagra 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 21-5 (9-2 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 3-3.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: S. Kessi, David Oliveira.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Rustavi 47%, draw 28%, Gagra 24%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Rustavi beat Gagra 3-0 in the Erovnuli Liga matchday 22 on 22 August 2026. Goals: O. Vorobey 56' (o.g.), S. Kessi 85', David Oliveira 90'. Match stats: possession Rustavi 55%, Gagra 45%; shots on target 9-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.