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Rustavi 1-0 Dila

Erovnuli Liga · Matchweek 10
Rustavi
10
Full-timeHT 0-0
Dila
90'Iakobidze
Referee I. KherkhadzeFri 1 May 2026, 20:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
81%
Clearleague base 73%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Level at half-time
49%
Notableleague base 42%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 3
Dila win
45%±7
Notableleague base 33%calibrated
retrospective miss
Match result · RUS 25% · X 30% · DIL 45%Predicted score 0-1 · Most likely: 0-1 16% · 1-1 13% · 0-0 13%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

18All ›
Kick-off · 20:00
32'
Y. NakanoYellow card
32'
O. ParulavaOn · M. Kante off
32'
B. AnoffOn · A. Tali off
41'
Jackson KenioOn · P. Osei off
Half-time 0-0
46'
K. CeijasOn · Y. Nakano off
49'
A. GujabidzeYellow card
56'
J. TiboueYellow card
69'
David OliveiraOn · Jean off
74'
D. GotsiridzeOn · T. Fuller off
74'
N. MaliOn · T. Kikabidze off
82'
M. PamiOn · A. Gujabidze off
82'
B. JibrilOn · S. Kessi off
83'
Jackson KenioYellow card
90'
B. AnoffYellow card
90'
I. IakobidzeAssist K. Ceijas1-0
90+1'
M. SanyangOn · S. Shekiladze off
90+4'
B. JibrilYellow card
90+6'
D. GotsiridzeYellow card
Full time 1-0

Match stats

Rustavi
Dila
3
On target
2
%49
Possession
%51
1
Corners
4

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Rustavi
Coach Giorgi TsetsadzeBench 9
Dila
Coach Diego LongoBench 9
Your predictionFull time 1-0
RUS
–
DIL
–
Model: 0-1 (16%)
No prediction · Locked 20:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections21:57

Rustavi beat Dila 1-0 in the Erovnuli Liga matchday 10 on 1 May 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Rustavi scored first, in the 90th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 90' I. Iakobidze, assisted by K. Ceijas → 1-0.

Yellow cards: Rustavi 4, Dila 3.

Statistical comparison

Possession 49%-51%; corners 1-4.

Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: I. Iakobidze.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Rustavi 25%, draw 30%, Dila 45%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Rustavi beat Dila 1-0 in the Erovnuli Liga matchday 10 on 1 May 2026. Goals: I. Iakobidze 90'. Match stats: possession Rustavi 49%, Dila 51%; shots on target 3-2.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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Dila · next match