Roda 1-0 De Graafschap
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Treichel 8.3 · I. El Kadiri 7.9 · J. Schwirten 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections03:48Roda beat De Graafschap 1-0 in the Eerste Divisie matchday 2 on 15 August 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Roda scored first, in the 54th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 54' J. Schwirten, assisted by C. Seedorf → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Roda 2, De Graafschap 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Roda 1.36, De Graafschap 1.29; shots 14-14 (6-5 on target); possession 41%-59%; corners 5-9; pass accuracy 79%-86%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Treichel was Roda's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 5 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
I. El Kadiri was De Graafschap's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 3 shots on target, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 10 of 20 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
15 August 2025: the Eerste Divisie matchday 2 match ended Roda 1-0 De Graafschap. Goals: J. Schwirten 54'. Match stats: possession Roda 41%, De Graafschap 59%; shots on target 6-5; expected goals (xG) 1.36-1.29.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.