Roda 2-2 Ajax
Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: N. Gudelj 7.6 · U. Inceman 7.3 · R. Poepon 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:0531 January 2016: the Eredivisie matchday 21 match ended Roda 2-2 Ajax.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Roda levelled after the break. Ajax scored first, in the 27th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 27' A. Milik, assisted by N. Gudelj → 0-1; 29' A. El Ghazi → 0-2; 35' R. Poepon, assisted by K. Peterson → 1-2; 90+2' M. Ngombo, assisted by J. Buijs → 2-2.
Yellow cards: Roda 0, Ajax 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-5 (4-3 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 79%-87%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
R. Poepon was Roda's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 10 of 20 duels.
N. Gudelj was Ajax's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, won 5 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Roda vs Ajax (Eredivisie matchday 21, 31 January 2016) finished 2-2. Goals: A. Milik 27', A. El Ghazi 29', R. Poepon 35', M. Ngombo 90+2'. Match stats: possession Roda 46%, Ajax 54%; shots on target 4-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.