Rīgas FS 1-1 Auda
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections09:20Rīgas FS drew with Auda 1-1 in the Virsliga matchday 22 on 4 July 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Auda scored first, in the 61st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 61' O. Rubenis → 0-1; 78' N. Purins (own goal) → 0-2.
S. Panic missed a penalty in the 78th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Rīgas FS 2, Auda 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: O. Rubenis.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Rīgas FS 66%, draw 20%, Auda 14%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
4 July 2026: the Virsliga matchday 22 match ended Rīgas FS 1-1 Auda. Goals: O. Rubenis 61', N. Purins 78' (o.g.).
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.