Riga 3-0 Super Nova
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections11:2324 May 2026: the Virsliga matchday 15 match ended Riga 3-0 Super Nova.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Riga scored first, in the 29th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 29' Caio Ferreira, assisted by M. Diop → 1-0; 37' M. Diop, assisted by M. Badamosi → 2-0; 43' M. Badamosi, assisted by S. Oulad M'Hand → 3-0.
Yellow cards: Riga 3, Super Nova 1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: Caio Ferreira, M. Diop, M. Badamosi.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Riga 89%, draw 8%, Super Nova 3%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Riga beat Super Nova 3-0 in the Virsliga matchday 15 on 24 May 2026. Goals: Caio Ferreira 29', M. Diop 37', M. Badamosi 43'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.