Reading 2-2 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Hoilett 8.3 · M. Bird 8.2 · A. Carroll 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections08:18Reading drew with Derby 2-2 in the Championship matchday 26 on 3 January 2022.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Derby levelled after the break. Reading scored first, in the 37th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 37' J. Hoilett, assisted by A. Carroll → 1-0; 56' J. Hoilett → 2-0; 86' C. Kazim-Richards, assisted by M. Bird → 2-1; 90+1' C. Davies, assisted by N. Byrne → 2-2.
Yellow cards: Reading 1, Derby 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-17 (3-5 on target); possession 30%-70%; corners 3-10; pass accuracy 71%-90%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
J. Hoilett was Reading's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 97 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 3 of 7 duels.
M. Bird was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 97 minutes: 1 assist, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
3 January 2022: the Championship matchday 26 match ended Reading 2-2 Derby. Goals: J. Hoilett 37', J. Hoilett 56', C. Kazim-Richards 86', C. Davies 90+1'. Match stats: possession Reading 30%, Derby 70%; shots on target 3-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.