Reading 3-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Olise 7.9 · Lucas João 7.5 · Rafael Cabral 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections09:31Reading beat Derby 3-1 in the Championship matchday 40 on 5 April 2021.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Reading scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+3' M. Olise, assisted by J. Laurent → 1-0; 57' G. Puşcaş → 2-0; 79' T. Lawrence → 2-1; 84' Lucas João, assisted by T. Holmes → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Reading 2, Derby 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 6-11 (5-5 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 2-4; pass accuracy 81%-78%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Olise was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 81 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 4 of 9 duels.
A. Wisdom was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 3 tackles, won 5 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Reading vs Derby (Championship matchday 40, 5 April 2021) finished 3-1. Goals: M. Olise 45+3', G. Puşcaş 57', T. Lawrence 79', Lucas João 84'. Match stats: possession Reading 55%, Derby 45%; shots on target 5-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.