Reading 0-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: O. Norwood 7.6 · R. Keogh 7.6 · T. Ince 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections15:1715 September 2015: the Championship matchday 7 match ended Reading 0-1 Derby.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Derby scored first, in the 69th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 69' T. Ince, assisted by C. Martin → 0-1.
Orlando Sá (Reading) was sent off in the 45th minute; yellow cards: Reading 2, Derby 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-10 (3-2 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 7-5; pass accuracy 79%-80%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
O. Norwood was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 4 of 9 duels.
T. Ince was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 84 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 7 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Reading lost to Derby 0-1 in the Championship matchday 7 on 15 September 2015. Goals: T. Ince 69'. Match stats: possession Reading 46%, Derby 54%; shots on target 3-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.