Reading 1-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Evans 8.1 · J. Obita 7.7 · L. Moore 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections05:23Reading drew with Derby 1-1 in the Championship matchday 11 on 1 October 2016.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 62nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 62' M. Vydra → 0-1; 90' G. Evans, assisted by C. Harriott → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Reading 2, Derby 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-11 (4-4 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 6-5; pass accuracy 84%-75%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
G. Evans was Reading's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 6 of 7 duels.
T. Ince was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 6 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Reading vs Derby (Championship matchday 11, 1 October 2016) finished 1-1. Goals: M. Vydra 62', G. Evans 90'. Match stats: possession Reading 62%, Derby 38%; shots on target 4-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.