Reading 3-0 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Lucas João 8.1 · Rafael Cabral 7.9 · T. Blackett 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections18:1821 December 2019: the Championship matchday 23 match ended Reading 3-0 Derby.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Reading scored first, in the 5th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 5' C. Adam (penalty) → 1-0; 58' Lucas João, assisted by J. Swift → 2-0; 86' Y. Meïté (penalty) → 3-0.
Scott Malone (Derby) was sent off in the 4th minute; yellow cards: Reading 2, Derby 8.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-16 (7-6 on target); possession 59%-41%; corners 6-6; pass accuracy 89%-83%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
Lucas João was Reading's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 5 of 10 duels.
D. Holmes was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 4 key passes, 3 tackles, won 10 of 16 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Reading vs Derby (Championship matchday 23, 21 December 2019) finished 3-0. Goals: C. Adam 5' (pen), Lucas João 58', Y. Meïté 86' (pen). Match stats: possession Reading 59%, Derby 41%; shots on target 7-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.