Reading 3-3 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Böðvarsson 7.6 · T. Lawrence 7.6 · M. Barrow 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections13:18Reading drew with Derby 3-3 in the Championship matchday 34 on 24 February 2018.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-2 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 6th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 6' K. Palmer → 0-1; 16' L. Kelly → 1-1; 32' M. Barrow → 2-1; 35' R. Keogh, assisted by C. Davies → 2-2; 46' T. Lawrence → 2-3; 80' J. Böðvarsson → 3-3.
Chris Baird (Derby) was sent off in the 85th minute; yellow cards: Reading 2, Derby 5.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-11 (7-6 on target); possession 71%-29%; corners 8-3; pass accuracy 82%-63%.
Goals by half: 2-2 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Böðvarsson was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 3 shots on target, won 7 of 17 duels.
T. Lawrence was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 88 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 8 of 15 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
24 February 2018: the Championship matchday 34 match ended Reading 3-3 Derby. Goals: K. Palmer 6', L. Kelly 16', M. Barrow 32', R. Keogh 35', T. Lawrence 46', J. Böðvarsson 80'. Match stats: possession Reading 71%, Derby 29%; shots on target 7-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.