Reading 3-1 Blackpool
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Kyreece Lisbie 8.5 · L. Clarkson 8.2 · O. Casey 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections23:37Reading beat Blackpool 3-1 in the League One matchday 5 on 5 September 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Reading scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' G. Earthy, assisted by K. Lisbie → 1-0; 49' K. Lisbie → 2-0; 80' L. Clarkson, assisted by T. Bloxham → 2-1; 90' J. Brown, assisted by D. Kyerewaa → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Reading 0, Blackpool 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Reading 3.50, Blackpool 0.51; shots 19-8 (6-1 on target); possession 33%-67%; corners 6-3; pass accuracy 70%-81%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.99.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
Kyreece Lisbie was Reading's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 76 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 3 of 11 duels.
L. Clarkson was Blackpool's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 1 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Reading 48%, draw 24%, Blackpool 28%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Reading beat Blackpool 3-1 in the League One matchday 5 on 5 September 2026. Goals: G. Earthy 12', K. Lisbie 49', L. Clarkson 80', J. Brown 90'. Match stats: possession Reading 33%, Blackpool 67%; shots on target 6-1; expected goals (xG) 3.50-0.51.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.