Ramsgate 1-2 Leatherhead
Non League Premier - Isthmian · Matchweek 1Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections03:04Ramsgate lost to Leatherhead 1-2 in the Non League Premier - Isthmian matchday 1 on 8 August 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Leatherhead scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' K. Boadi → 0-1; 45+1' H. Murphy → 0-2; 45+2' C. Jones → 1-2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: K. Boadi, H. Murphy, C. Jones.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Ramsgate 45%, draw 24%, Leatherhead 32%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ramsgate vs Leatherhead (Non League Premier - Isthmian matchday 1, 8 August 2026) finished 1-2. Goals: K. Boadi 8', H. Murphy 45+1', C. Jones 45+2'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.