QPR 1-1 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: R. Esse 7.9 · J. Tanganga 7.7 · M. Frey 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections10:00QPR drew with Millwall 1-1 in the Championship matchday 6 on 21 September 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 34th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 34' D. Watmore, assisted by M. Langstaff → 0-1; 40' M. Frey, assisted by K. Dembélé → 1-1.
Yellow cards: QPR 2, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) QPR 0.85, Millwall 1.87; shots 7-16 (2-5 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 5-10; pass accuracy 82%-75%.
Millwall created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Frey was QPR's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 tackles, won 8 of 17 duels.
R. Esse was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 10 of 16 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
QPR drew with Millwall 1-1 in the Championship matchday 6 on 21 September 2024. Goals: D. Watmore 34', M. Frey 40'. Match stats: possession QPR 60%, Millwall 40%; shots on target 2-5; expected goals (xG) 0.85-1.87.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.