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Qarabag 0-0 CSKA Sofia

Europa League · Qualifying · Round 2
Qarabag
00
Full-timeHT 0-0
CSKA Sofia
Referee Daniele ChiffiThu 23 Jul 2026, 19:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
77%
Clearleague base 75%calibrated
retrospective miss
Highlight 2
Qarabag win
51%±9
Notableleague base 48%calibrated
retrospective miss
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · KAR 51% · X 25% · CSK 24%Predicted score 2-1 · Most likely: 1-1 11% · 2-1 10% · 1-0 10%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

13All ›
Kick-off · 19:00
35'
Leandro GodoyYellow card
37'
Marko JankovićYellow card
Half-time 0-0
56'
R. CephasOn · M. Jankovic off
56'
E. CafarquliyevOn · B. Langa off
73'
J. ZwartsOn · L. Godoy off
73'
I. SoletOn · M. Ebong off
74'
J. MouaddibOn · O. Kashchuk off
74'
C. MakreckisOn · B. Huseynov off
77'
Facundo RodríguezYellow card
78'
J. MontielOn · A. Zoubir off
84'
T. OuorouOn · A. Martino off
90+1'
M. BrahimiOn · Pastor off
90+1'
P. PanayotovOn · S. Sensi off
Full time 0-0

Match stats

Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
16
Shots
13
5
On target
4
9
Shots in box
5
%48
Possession
%52
9
Corners
2
9
Fouls
14
4
Saves
5

Starting XIs

4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2Line-ups ›
Qarabag
4-2-3-1
Coach Qurban QurbanovBench 11
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2
Coach Hristo YanevBench 12
Your predictionFull time 0-0
KAR
–
CSK
–
Model: 2-1 (10%)
No prediction · Locked 19:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

4 sections22:02

23 July 2026: the UEFA Europa League match ended Qarabag 0-0 CSKA Sofia.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-0 at half-time. There were no goals.

Goals and key moments

No goals yet.

Yellow cards: Qarabag 1, CSKA Sofia 2.

Statistical comparison

Shots 16-13 (5-4 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 9-2.

Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Qarabag 51%, draw 25%, CSKA Sofia 24%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Qarabag drew with CSKA Sofia 0-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 23 July 2026. Match stats: possession Qarabag 48%, CSKA Sofia 52%; shots on target 5-4.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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CSKA Sofia · next match