Progreso 4-3 Racing Montevideo
Model accuracy
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections19:3210 March 2024: the Primera División match ended Progreso 4-3 Racing Montevideo.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Racing Montevideo scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' A. Pereira → 0-1; 42' F. López → 1-1; 52' A. Alaniz (penalty) → 1-2; 61' I. Lemmo → 2-2; 74' F. López → 3-2; 88' I. Lemmo → 4-2; 90+3' N. Sosa → 4-3.
Yellow cards: Progreso 1, Racing Montevideo 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 7-5 (5-5 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 8-7.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 3-2 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: A. Pereira, F. López, A. Alaniz, I. Lemmo, N. Sosa.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Progreso beat Racing Montevideo 4-3 in the Primera División on 10 March 2024. Goals: A. Pereira 4', F. López 42', A. Alaniz 52' (pen), I. Lemmo 61', F. López 74', I. Lemmo 88', N. Sosa 90+3'. Match stats: possession Progreso 55%, Racing Montevideo 45%; shots on target 5-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.