Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections00:083 May 2026: the Primera División match ended Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Cerro Largo scored first, in the 56th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 56' T. Correa → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Progreso 3, Cerro Largo 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: T. Correa.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Progreso 34%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 37%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Progreso lost to Cerro Largo 0-1 in the Primera División on 3 May 2026. Goals: T. Correa 56'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.