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Progreso 1-2 Atletico Torque

Primera División · Torneo Intermedio - 2
Progreso
12
Full-timeHT 1-1
Atletico Torque
34'Lopez
Silva (P)25'Rodriguez79'
Parque Abraham Paladino, MontevideoReferee P. SilveiraSat 23 May 2026, 16:00capacity 7,500

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
75%
Clearleague base 70%calibrated
retrospective hit
The model sees no second or third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · PRO 30% · X 26% · ATO 44%Predicted score 1-2 · Most likely: 1-1 12% · 0-1 10% · 1-2 9%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

24All ›
Kick-off · 16:00
25'
0-1N. Da SilvaPenalty
26'
Ayrton CougoYellow card
34'
N. LopezGoal1-1
37'
Kevin SilvaYellow card
Half-time 1-1
46'
S. RodriguezOn · D. Guzman off
50'
Agustin PinheiroYellow card
62'
Mauro MartínYellow card
62'
L. AndradeOn · J. Quintana off
69'
Mauro MartínYellow card
69'
Mauro MartínRed card
72'
F. GarciaOn · N. Fernandez off
72'
F. KiddOn · A. Cougo off
72'
G. SilvaOn · J. Dos Santos off
74'
B. KociubinskiOn · S. Caceres off
78'
Santiago VieraYellow card
79'
1-2S. RodriguezGoal
83'
Gary SilvaYellow card
84'
Gastón RodríguezYellow card
84'
D. SanchezOn · S. Viera off
88'
F. RomeroOn · N. Perez off
88'
E. AgueroOn · N. Da Silva off
90'
Federico GarcíaYellow card
90+4'
I. LemmoOn · A. Pinheiro off
90+8'
Ignacio LemmoYellow card
Full time 1-2

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

4-3-3 · 4-3-3Line-ups ›
Progreso
4-3-3
Coach Tabare SilvaBench 10
Atletico Torque
4-3-3
Coach Marcelo MendezBench 10
Your predictionFull time 1-2
PRO
–
ATO
–
Model: 1-2 (9%)
No prediction · Locked 16:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections00:55

Progreso lost to Atletico Torque 1-2 in the Primera División on 23 May 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Atletico Torque scored first, in the 25th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 25' N. Da Silva (penalty) → 0-1; 34' N. Lopez → 1-1; 79' S. Rodriguez → 1-2.

Mauro Martín (Progreso) was sent off in the 69th minute; yellow cards: Progreso 8, Atletico Torque 2.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: N. Da Silva, N. Lopez, S. Rodriguez.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Progreso 30%, draw 26%, Atletico Torque 44%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Progreso vs Atletico Torque (Primera División, 23 May 2026) finished 1-2. Goals: N. Da Silva 25' (pen), N. Lopez 34', S. Rodriguez 79'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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