Plzen 1-3 Slovan Liberec
Czech Liga · Matchweek 1Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: F. Wiegele 9.2 · A. Drakpe 7.9 · A. Kayondo 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections17:0225 July 2026: the Czech Liga matchday 1 match ended Plzen 1-3 Slovan Liberec.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Plzen scored first, in the 27th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 27' T. Ladra (own goal) → 1-0; 51' D. Krcik (penalty) → 2-0; 76' A. Soliu, assisted by P. Dulay → 2-1; 90' P. Dulay → 2-2.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Plzen 2, Slovan Liberec 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Plzen 1.07, Slovan Liberec 2.42; shots 8-21 (1-10 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 5-4; pass accuracy 82%-74%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.35.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
F. Wiegele was Plzen's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 90 minutes: 8 saves.
A. Drakpe was Slovan Liberec's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Plzen 62%, draw 23%, Slovan Liberec 16%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
25 July 2026: the Czech Liga matchday 1 match ended Plzen 1-3 Slovan Liberec. Goals: T. Ladra 27' (o.g.), D. Krcik 51' (pen), A. Soliu 76', P. Dulay 90'. Match stats: possession Plzen 58%, Slovan Liberec 42%; shots on target 1-10; expected goals (xG) 1.07-2.42.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.