Platense 2-1 Fluminense
CONMEBOL Libertadores · Quarter-finalModel accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: B. Sepúlveda 7.9 · G. Mainero 7.7 · A. Canobbio 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections14:3015 September 2026: the CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter-final match ended Platense 2-1 Fluminense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Platense scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' Guido Mainero → 1-0; 45+2' Bruno Christian Sepulveda, assisted by Guido Mainero → 2-0; 57' Agustín Canobbio, assisted by Hulk → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Platense 3, Fluminense 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-7 (6-2 on target); possession 56%-44%; corners 12-0.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
B. Sepúlveda was Platense's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 8 of 25 duels.
A. Canobbio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 11 of 21 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Platense 31%, draw 35%, Fluminense 33%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Platense beat Fluminense 2-1 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter-final on 15 September 2026. Goals: Guido Mainero 30', Bruno Christian Sepulveda 45+2', Agustín Canobbio 57'. Match stats: possession Platense 56%, Fluminense 44%; shots on target 6-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.