Penarol 3-1 Progreso
Model accuracy
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections09:55Penarol beat Progreso 3-1 in the Primera División on 23 May 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Penarol came from behind in the second half to win. Penarol scored first, in the 43rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 43' M. Gianoli (own goal) → 1-0; 59' Léo Coelho → 2-0; 70' Léo Coelho → 3-0; 90+2' L. Hernández → 4-0.
Yellow cards: Penarol 3, Progreso 4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: Léo Coelho, L. Hernández.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
23 May 2024: the Primera División match ended Penarol 3-1 Progreso. Goals: M. Gianoli 43' (o.g.), Léo Coelho 59', Léo Coelho 70', L. Hernández 90+2'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.