Penarol 2-1 Defensor Sporting
Model accuracy
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections09:10Penarol beat Defensor Sporting 2-1 in the Primera División on 23 July 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Defensor Sporting scored first, in the 53rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 53' A. Balboa → 0-1; 69' M. Arezo → 1-1; 88' A. Hernández → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Penarol 2, Defensor Sporting 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-6 (6-2 on target); possession 47%-53%; corners 5-5.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: A. Balboa, M. Arezo, A. Hernández.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Penarol beat Defensor Sporting 2-1 in the Primera División on 23 July 2023. Goals: A. Balboa 53', M. Arezo 69', A. Hernández 88'. Match stats: possession Penarol 47%, Defensor Sporting 53%; shots on target 6-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.