Paykan 1-1 Malavan
Model accuracy
Locked 25 Oct 06:07The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections14:57Paykan drew with Malavan 1-1 in the Persian Gulf Pro League matchday 10 on 25 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Paykan scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' R. Shekari, assisted by A. Madadizadeh → 1-0; 36' E. Shahriari → 1-1.
E. Jamshidi (Paykan) was sent off in the 23rd minute; yellow cards: Paykan 3, Malavan 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: R. Shekari, E. Shahriari.
How the model did
The locked pre-match statistical model estimate points to an even match: Paykan 32%, draw 35%, Malavan 33%. Most likely scores: 0-0 (19%), 0-1 (16%), 1-0 (15%). Expected goals in the model: Paykan 0.82, Malavan 0.84. Chance of 3+ goals: 30%; both teams to score: 40%.
The model's most likely outcome was a draw (35%); the actual result was a draw (35%). The outcome call was a hit. Its most likely score was 0-0 (worth 2 points under our prediction game rules).
Scoring rule: each match is graded on the last estimate locked before kick-off, which cannot be changed afterwards.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
25 October 2026: the Persian Gulf Pro League matchday 10 match ended Paykan 1-1 Malavan. Goals: R. Shekari 30', E. Shahriari 36'. The locked pre-match statistical model estimate points to an even match: Paykan 32%, draw 35%, Malavan 33%. The outcome call was a hit.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.