PAU 2-0 Dunkerque
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: B. Maubleu 8.2 · G. Paquiez 8.2 · A. Briançon 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections12:4418 September 2026: the Ligue 2 matchday 7 match ended PAU 2-0 Dunkerque.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. PAU scored first, in the 49th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 49' J. Benet (penalty) → 1-0; 88' A. Mbaye, assisted by L. Rajot → 2-0.
Victor Mayela (Dunkerque) was sent off in the 11th minute; yellow cards: PAU 2, Dunkerque 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 22-6 (10-2 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 6-2; pass accuracy 89%-74%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
B. Maubleu was PAU's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 2 saves.
Moha Airam was Dunkerque's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 8 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): PAU 34%, draw 24%, Dunkerque 42%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
PAU vs Dunkerque (Ligue 2 matchday 7, 18 September 2026) finished 2-0. Goals: J. Benet 49' (pen), A. Mbaye 88'. Match stats: possession PAU 67%, Dunkerque 33%; shots on target 10-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.