Parma 3-0 Novara
Model accuracy
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections21:5427 January 2018: the Serie B matchday 23 match ended Parma 3-0 Novara.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Parma scored first, in the 42nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 42' A. Lucarelli, assisted by M. Scozzarella → 1-0; 45+1' E. Calaiò (penalty) → 2-0; 78' M. Scavone, assisted by A. Di Gaudio → 3-0.
Andrea Mantovani (Novara) was sent off in the 45th minute; yellow cards: Parma 3, Novara 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-3 (6-1 on target); possession 57%-43%; corners 5-3.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: A. Lucarelli, E. Calaiò, M. Scavone.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Parma beat Novara 3-0 in the Serie B matchday 23 on 27 January 2018. Goals: A. Lucarelli 42', E. Calaiò 45+1' (pen), M. Scavone 78'. Match stats: possession Parma 57%, Novara 43%; shots on target 6-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.