Parma 1-2 Modena
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: R. Gagno 8.3 · V. Mihăilă 7.7 · Luca Tremolada 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections02:1126 November 2022: the Serie B matchday 14 match ended Parma 1-2 Modena.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Modena scored first, in the 18th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 18' D. Falcinelli, assisted by L. Tremolada → 0-1; 26' N. Bonfanti, assisted by L. Tremolada → 0-2; 71' F. Vázquez (penalty) → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Parma 0, Modena 5.
Statistical comparison
Shots 21-5 (11-2 on target); possession 69%-31%; corners 7-3; pass accuracy 85%-67%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
V. Mihăilă was Parma's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 22 minutes: 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 6 of 7 duels.
R. Gagno was Modena's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 10 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Parma vs Modena (Serie B matchday 14, 26 November 2022) finished 1-2. Goals: D. Falcinelli 18', N. Bonfanti 26', F. Vázquez 71' (pen). Match stats: possession Parma 69%, Modena 31%; shots on target 11-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.