Parma 2-2 Inter
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Mkhitaryan 7.9 · M. Thuram 7.9 · A. Bastoni 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections02:23Parma drew with Inter 2-2 in the Serie A matchday 31 on 5 April 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Parma levelled after the break. Inter scored first, in the 15th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 15' M. Darmian → 0-1; 45' M. Thuram, assisted by H. Mkhitaryan → 0-2; 60' Adrián Bernabé, assisted by A. Bonny → 1-2; 69' J. Ondrejka, assisted by M. Pellegrino → 2-2.
Yellow cards: Parma 2, Inter 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Parma 1.49, Inter 2.07; shots 8-20 (4-4 on target); possession 37%-63%; corners 2-4; pass accuracy 85%-89%.
Inter created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Ondrejka was Parma's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 36 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 4 duels.
M. Thuram was Inter's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 4 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Parma drew with Inter 2-2 in the Serie A matchday 31 on 5 April 2025. Goals: M. Darmian 15', M. Thuram 45', Adrián Bernabé 60', J. Ondrejka 69'. Match stats: possession Parma 37%, Inter 63%; shots on target 4-4; expected goals (xG) 1.49-2.07.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.