Parma 1-3 Atalanta
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: A. Lookman 8.0 · M. Cancellieri 7.7 · Éderson 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections02:02Parma lost to Atalanta 1-3 in the Serie A matchday 13 on 23 November 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Atalanta scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' M. Retegui, assisted by R. Bellanova → 0-1; 39' Éderson, assisted by M. Ruggeri → 0-2; 49' M. Cancellieri, assisted by V. Mihăilă → 1-2; 75' A. Lookman, assisted by J. Cuadrado → 1-3.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Parma 0, Atalanta 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Parma 0.75, Atalanta 2.75; shots 9-15 (3-6 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 2-5; pass accuracy 83%-85%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.00.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Cancellieri was Parma's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 82 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 8 of 15 duels.
A. Lookman was Atalanta's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 82 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 4 key passes, won 2 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Parma lost to Atalanta 1-3 in the Serie A matchday 13 on 23 November 2024. Goals: M. Retegui 4', Éderson 39', M. Cancellieri 49', A. Lookman 75'. Match stats: possession Parma 45%, Atalanta 55%; shots on target 3-6; expected goals (xG) 0.75-2.75.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.