Paredes 1-2 Leça
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections19:0423 August 2026: the Liga 3 matchday 3 match ended Paredes 1-2 Leça.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Leça scored first, in the 14th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 14' R. Ferreira, assisted by N. Reis → 0-1; 20' Gustavo Fernandes, assisted by J. Vigario → 1-1; 23' Diego Fernandes, assisted by R. Ferreira → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Paredes 3, Leça 4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: R. Ferreira, Gustavo Fernandes, Diego Fernandes.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Paredes 51%, draw 30%, Leça 19%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Paredes vs Leça (Liga 3 matchday 3, 23 August 2026) finished 1-2. Goals: R. Ferreira 14', Gustavo Fernandes 20', Diego Fernandes 23'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.