Oviedo 3-1 Eibar
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Carlos Domínguez 8.6 · Mikel Goti 8.2 · S. Rodriguez 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections09:20Oviedo beat Eibar 3-1 in the Segunda División matchday 9 on 12 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Oviedo scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' M. Goti Lopez, assisted by E. Perez → 1-0; 45' C. Dominguez → 2-0; 74' I. Gil, assisted by Javier Marton → 2-1; 85' C. Dominguez, assisted by A. Aldasoro → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Oviedo 4, Eibar 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Oviedo 1.97, Eibar 2.52; shots 17-18 (7-6 on target); possession 40%-60%; corners 10-5; pass accuracy 79%-88%.
Eibar created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Carlos Domínguez was Oviedo's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 2 of 5 duels.
Iván Gil was Eibar's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 31 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 1 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Oviedo 31%, draw 30%, Eibar 39%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Oviedo vs Eibar (Segunda División matchday 9, 12 October 2026) finished 3-1. Goals: M. Goti Lopez 3', C. Dominguez 45', I. Gil 74', C. Dominguez 85'. Match stats: possession Oviedo 40%, Eibar 60%; shots on target 7-6; expected goals (xG) 1.97-2.52.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.