Orgryte IS 4-3 BK Hacken
Allsvenskan · Matchweek 12Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: N. Christoffersson 9.5 · Julius Lindberg 8.6 · A. Andersson 8.5
Match analysis
5 sections21:46Orgryte IS beat BK Hacken 4-3 in the Allsvenskan matchday 12 on 11 July 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Orgryte IS came from behind in the second half to win. Orgryte IS scored first, in the 5th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 5' A. Andersson, assisted by O. Parker-Price → 1-0; 12' J. Lindberg, assisted by A. Lundkvist → 1-1; 41' A. Svanback, assisted by J. Lindberg → 1-2; 70' N. Christoffersson, assisted by J. Tibbling → 2-2; 75' J. Tibbling, assisted by A. Andersson → 3-2; 77' A. Doumbia, assisted by J. Lindberg → 3-3; 87' N. Christoffersson, assisted by O. Parker-Price → 4-3.
Yellow cards: Orgryte IS 2, BK Hacken 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Orgryte IS 1.43, BK Hacken 1.92; shots 14-18 (5-9 on target); possession 39%-61%; corners 5-8; pass accuracy 78%-87%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 3-1 in the second.
Standout players
N. Christoffersson was Orgryte IS's highest-rated player at 9.5 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 6 of 13 duels.
Julius Lindberg was BK Hacken's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 83 minutes: 1 goal, 2 assists, 2 shots on target, 5 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Orgryte IS 25%, draw 21%, BK Hacken 54%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
11 July 2026: the Allsvenskan matchday 12 match ended Orgryte IS 4-3 BK Hacken. Goals: A. Andersson 5', J. Lindberg 12', A. Svanback 41', N. Christoffersson 70', J. Tibbling 75', A. Doumbia 77', N. Christoffersson 87'. Match stats: possession Orgryte IS 39%, BK Hacken 61%; shots on target 5-9; expected goals (xG) 1.43-1.92.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.