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Olot 2-2 Ebro

Olot
22
Full-timeHT 1-2
Ebro
45'Mas (P)62'Tenas
Paki (P)2'Paki (P)28'
Sun 6 Sept 2026, 18:30

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
85%
Clearleague base 76%calibrated
retrospective miss
Highlight 2
Both teams score: no
58%±4
Notableleague base 52%calibrated
retrospective miss
Highlight 3
Level at half-time
52%
Notableleague base 45%calibrated
retrospective miss
Match result · OLO 45% · X 32% · EBR 23%Predicted score 0-0 · Most likely: 1-0 18% · 0-0 16% · 1-1 13%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

4All ›
Kick-off · 18:30
2'
0-1PakiPenalty
28'
0-2PakiPenalty
45'
M. MasPenalty1-2
Half-time 1-2
62'
M. TenasGoal2-2
Full time 2-2

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Olot
Coach Roger VidalBench 0
Ebro
Coach Javier GenovesBench 0
Your predictionFull time 2-2
OLO
–
EBR
–
Model: 0-0 (16%)
No prediction · Locked 18:30

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections16:19

6 September 2026: the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 match ended Olot 2-2 Ebro.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 1-2 at half-time. Olot levelled after the break. Ebro scored first, in the 2nd minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 2' Paki (penalty) → 0-1; 28' Paki (penalty) → 0-2; 45' M. Mas (penalty) → 1-2; 62' M. Tenas → 2-2.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 1-0 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: Paki, M. Mas, M. Tenas.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Olot 45%, draw 32%, Ebro 23%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Olot vs Ebro (Segunda División RFEF - Group 2, 6 September 2026) finished 2-2. Goals: Paki 2' (pen), Paki 28' (pen), M. Mas 45' (pen), M. Tenas 62'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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