Olimpia 2-0 (pen. 4-1) Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Olveira 8.2 · S. Otálvaro 7.9 · A. Alcáraz 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections17:2017 March 2022: the CONMEBOL Libertadores match ended after extra time Olimpia 2-0 Fluminense (4-1 on penalties).
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Olimpia scored first, in the 36th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 36' J. Recalde, assisted by A. Silva → 1-0; 89' G. Paiva, assisted by N. Camacho → 2-0; 120+1' H. Quintana (penalty) → 3-0; 120+3' N. Camacho (penalty) → 4-0; 120+5' R. Ortiz (penalty) → 5-0; 120+6' André (penalty) → 5-1; 120+7' D. González (penalty) → 6-1.
Nino (Fluminense) was sent off in the 80th minute; Willian missed a penalty in the 120th minute; Felipe Melo missed a penalty in the 120th minute; yellow cards: Olimpia 6, Fluminense 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 18-8 (8-3 on target); possession 63%-37%; corners 2-1; pass accuracy 85%-77%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
G. Olveira was Olimpia's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 3 saves.
André was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 5 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Olimpia vs Fluminense (CONMEBOL Libertadores, 17 March 2022) finished 2-0 (4-1 on penalties). Goals: J. Recalde 36', G. Paiva 89', H. Quintana 120+1' (pen), N. Camacho 120+3' (pen), R. Ortiz 120+5' (pen), André 120+6' (pen), D. González 120+7' (pen). Match stats: possession Olimpia 63%, Fluminense 37%; shots on target 8-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.