Oldham 3-1 Tranmere
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Mellon 10.0 · Charlie Jay Whitaker 7.6 · Kai Payne 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections17:5120 December 2025: the League Two matchday 21 match ended Oldham 3-1 Tranmere.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Oldham scored first, in the 31st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 31' M. Mellon, assisted by J. Caprice → 1-0; 41' C. Whitaker → 1-1; 47' M. Mellon → 2-1; 61' M. Mellon → 3-1.
Mike Fondop (Oldham) was sent off in the 68th minute; yellow cards: Oldham 3, Tranmere 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Oldham 1.51, Tranmere 2.01; shots 16-17 (7-5 on target); possession 37%-63%; corners 5-3; pass accuracy 51%-76%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Mellon was Oldham's highest-rated player at 10.0 in 84 minutes: 3 goals, 4 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 4 of 8 duels.
Charlie Jay Whitaker was Tranmere's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 3 shots on target, won 5 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Oldham vs Tranmere (League Two matchday 21, 20 December 2025) finished 3-1. Goals: M. Mellon 31', C. Whitaker 41', M. Mellon 47', M. Mellon 61'. Match stats: possession Oldham 37%, Tranmere 63%; shots on target 7-5; expected goals (xG) 1.51-2.01.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.