Oldham 1-0 Grimsby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Hawkes 7.9 · C. McJannet 7.9 · W. Sutton 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections03:32Oldham beat Grimsby 1-0 in the League Two matchday 37 on 14 March 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Oldham scored first, in the 82nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 82' J. Hawkes, assisted by O. Hammond → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Oldham 2, Grimsby 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Oldham 0.90, Grimsby 0.95; shots 8-7 (1-1 on target); possession 44%-56%; corners 3-4; pass accuracy 54%-63%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Hawkes was Oldham's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 24 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target.
C. McJannet was Grimsby's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 12 of 18 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Oldham beat Grimsby 1-0 in the League Two matchday 37 on 14 March 2026. Goals: J. Hawkes 82'. Match stats: possession Oldham 44%, Grimsby 56%; shots on target 1-1; expected goals (xG) 0.90-0.95.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.