Nottingham Forest 2-2 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Pantilimon 8.0 · S. Ferguson 7.8 · S. Williams 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections12:44Nottingham Forest drew with Millwall 2-2 in the Championship matchday 11 on 3 October 2018.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Millwall levelled after the break. Nottingham Forest scored first, in the 27th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 27' J. Lolley, assisted by B. Osborn → 1-0; 70' João Carvalho → 2-0; 74' S. Williams, assisted by S. Ferguson → 2-1; 90+1' L. Gregory, assisted by R. Leonard → 2-2.
Yellow cards: Nottingham Forest 1, Millwall 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 7-19 (2-9 on target); possession 57%-43%; corners 2-8; pass accuracy 72%-58%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
C. Pantilimon was Nottingham Forest's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 8 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
S. Ferguson was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, 1 tackle, won 5 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
3 October 2018: the Championship matchday 11 match ended Nottingham Forest 2-2 Millwall. Goals: J. Lolley 27', João Carvalho 70', S. Williams 74', L. Gregory 90+1'. Match stats: possession Nottingham Forest 57%, Millwall 43%; shots on target 2-9.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.