Norwich 3-2 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Maddison 8.1 · L. Kelly 7.9 · M. Vrančić 7.8
Match analysis
5 sections17:5117 March 2018: the Championship matchday 38 match ended Norwich 3-2 Reading.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Norwich scored first, in the 14th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 14' M. Vrančić → 1-0; 26' G. Hanley, assisted by J. Maddison → 2-0; 32' L. Kelly, assisted by D. Edwards → 2-1; 37' J. Maddison (penalty) → 3-1; 51' S. Smith, assisted by L. Kelly → 3-2.
Yellow cards: Norwich 2, Reading 5.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-12 (5-7 on target); possession 44%-56%; corners 8-2; pass accuracy 74%-82%.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Maddison was Norwich's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 8 of 15 duels.
L. Kelly was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 62 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 3 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
17 March 2018: the Championship matchday 38 match ended Norwich 3-2 Reading. Goals: M. Vrančić 14', G. Hanley 26', L. Kelly 32', J. Maddison 37' (pen), S. Smith 51'. Match stats: possession Norwich 44%, Reading 56%; shots on target 5-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.