Norwich 4-3 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Leitner 7.9 · T. Pukki 7.9 · R. Leonard 7.4
Match analysis
5 sections09:1410 November 2018: the Championship matchday 17 match ended Norwich 4-3 Millwall.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Norwich came from behind in the second half to win. Millwall scored first, in the 24th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 24' T. Elliott, assisted by J. Cooper → 0-1; 49' T. Pukki, assisted by M. Stiepermann → 1-1; 79' M. Leitner → 2-1; 81' R. Leonard, assisted by L. Gregory → 2-2; 83' J. Wallace, assisted by S. Morison → 2-3; 90+2' J. Rhodes, assisted by E. Buendía → 3-3; 90+7' T. Pukki, assisted by M. Vrančić → 4-3.
Yellow cards: Norwich 2, Millwall 5.
Statistical comparison
Shots 21-8 (7-4 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 6-3; pass accuracy 80%-65%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 4-2 in the second.
Standout players
T. Pukki was Norwich's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 2 of 4 duels.
R. Leonard was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 4 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
10 November 2018: the Championship matchday 17 match ended Norwich 4-3 Millwall. Goals: T. Elliott 24', T. Pukki 49', M. Leitner 79', R. Leonard 81', J. Wallace 83', J. Rhodes 90+2', T. Pukki 90+7'. Match stats: possession Norwich 60%, Millwall 40%; shots on target 7-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.