Nice 3-2 Rennes
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: E. Guessand 8.2 · A. Truffert 8.0 · T. Ndombélé 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections14:553 January 2025: the Ligue 1 matchday 16 match ended Nice 3-2 Rennes.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Nice scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' E. Guessand, assisted by T. Ndombélé → 1-0; 27' A. Kalimuendo, assisted by L. Blas → 1-1; 34' S. Diop → 2-1; 45+5' G. Laborde, assisted by E. Guessand → 3-1; 49' A. Truffert → 3-2.
Pablo Rosario (Nice) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Nice 3, Rennes 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Nice 1.50, Rennes 1.71; shots 9-10 (6-5 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 79%-84%.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
E. Guessand was Nice's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 5 of 12 duels.
A. Truffert was Rennes's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 7 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
3 January 2025: the Ligue 1 matchday 16 match ended Nice 3-2 Rennes. Goals: E. Guessand 12', A. Kalimuendo 27', S. Diop 34', G. Laborde 45+5', A. Truffert 49'. Match stats: possession Nice 46%, Rennes 54%; shots on target 6-5; expected goals (xG) 1.50-1.71.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.