Nice 2-4 Marseille
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Mandanda 8.6 · M. Balotelli 8.0 · L. Ocampos 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections02:161 October 2017: the Ligue 1 matchday 8 match ended Nice 2-4 Marseille.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-3 at half-time. Nice scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' M. Balotelli, assisted by P. Lees Melou → 1-0; 16' J. Seri, assisted by N. Mendy → 2-0; 26' L. Ocampos → 2-1; 41' P. Lees Melou (own goal) → 3-1; 44' L. Ocampos → 3-2; 47' Luiz Gustavo → 3-3.
Luiz Gustavo (Marseille) was sent off in the 66th minute; yellow cards: Nice 2, Marseille 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 19-17 (10-9 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 9-5; pass accuracy 89%-79%.
Goals by half: 2-3 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Balotelli was Nice's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 4 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 7 of 15 duels.
S. Mandanda was Marseille's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 90 minutes: 9 saves, won 3 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Nice lost to Marseille 2-4 in the Ligue 1 matchday 8 on 1 October 2017. Goals: M. Balotelli 4', J. Seri 16', L. Ocampos 26', P. Lees Melou 41' (o.g.), L. Ocampos 44', Luiz Gustavo 47'. Match stats: possession Nice 62%, Marseille 38%; shots on target 10-9.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.